Tuesday, September 24, 2013

The role of the West

Ok... here is extremely interesting article from a Myanmar expert...
Guys, if you want the whole article, drop me a line so that I can share you soon.

The role of the West

It seems that the USA is not betting any more on the ASSK card. The UK is a bit more unclear and it might be that they will continue to play Lady’s card while engaging post-military government as well. Whatever, Western democracies do not let any more their Burma policies be shaped by the ASSK. They have now their own geostrategic, diplomatic and economic interests and they do not want any more to have their other interests being captured by the international celebrity status of the ASSK.

West has invested geopolitically and diplomatically and is starting to invest economically so much that there is less and less diplomats and policy-makers who want overwhelming NLD election victory. They are afraid of the instability and uncertainty of the transfer of power. They would prefer much more the clear transition pact and some sort of the coalition arrangement between either Thein Sein and ASSK (first choice), or between ASSK and Shwe Mann. If that turned to be impossible, that West is hoping that benevolent, enlightened semi-authoritarianism is better option, than overwhelming NLD victory.